From KALLISTE@delphi.comTue Oct  1 11:24:17 1996
Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 10:56:42 -0500 (EST)
From: KALLISTE@delphi.com
To: jya@pipeline.com, jqp@globaldialog.com, tenega@aol.com,
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Subject: Credit Lyonnais & L.F. Rothschild Ready to Topple

              Credit Lyonnais & L.F. Rothschild Ready to Topple
                               
                           by J. Orlin Grabbe


                Les vertus se perdent dans l'interet, commes
                les fleuves se perdent dans la mer.
                      --La Rochefoucauld
                                      
        What will happen when the world's largest non-Japanese bank topples?
The repercussions will ripple throughout the world banking system.  Get 
ready to see Citibank, Chase, and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange hammered.

        Credit Lyonnais has long relied on two simple mechanisms to ensure
its bloated growth:  a ready supply of money-laundering deposits from the
Cali cartel and similar sources, and financial infusions from the French 
government (which owns most of the bank) when all else fails.  

        Meanwhile the bank has frittered away its assets in an endlessly 
array of non-performing loans. Representative of this is Credit Lyonnais'
financing of Giancarlo Parretti's purchase of Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer from 
Kirk Kerkorian in 1990 for $1.3 billion.  Later, in 1992, Credit Lyonnais 
acquired the assets of MGM, which it then sold to a Kirk Kerkorian-backed 
group for $1.3 billion earlier this year (the same price for which Kerkorian 
originally let the movie studio go), after having pouring millions of 
dollars into the company.  

        Parretti, for his part, is suing a Dutch affiliate of Credit
Lyonnais--Credit Lyonnais Bank Nederland NV--for $3.9 billion because
he says they conspired to take MGM away from him.  At the same time,
Parretti is on trial in Delaware for forging evidence in a another trial
related to his ouster as MGM studio chief.  Credit Lyonnais booted him
out when, they say, he failed to disclose a MGM obligation to repurchase 
certain movie rights for $150 million.

        Last week, on Sept. 25, the European Commission supposedly approved
French franc 3.9 billion (about $767 million) in emergency government
funds for Credit Lyonnais--the third such bailout in three years.  (Last
year's bailout was French franc 45 billion.)  But will these funds really  
be forthcoming? Some members of the Commission are beginning to realize
they have simply been pouring money down a sinkhole or into the leaky 
pockets of L.F. Rothschild.

        For months Credit Lyonnais had been begging the world for a capital 
infusion, including seeking emergency cash from the Cali cartel.  But the 
cartel views the bank as a dying dinosaur, and has gone elsewhere with their 
money.  The big private loser so far is L.F. Rothschild, much of whose 
fortune is tied up in Credit Lyonnais.  Rothschild would love nothing more 
than to have the French government reimburse him for Credit Lyonnais' 
lending mistakes.

        More bad loans on the books involve real estate in France and the
U.S.  Many of these will be necessarily disposed of at a small fraction of 
their book value. (Also included in this category is Credit Lyonnais'
51 percent stake in Germany's Bank fur Gemeinwirtschaft.)  In last year's 
restructuring, Credit Lyonnais transferred French franc 135 billion worth 
of bad loans to a French government-back entity, the Consortium des 
Realisations. But the Consortium was financed by a loan from Credit Lyonnais 
at below market interest rates.

        Credit Lyonnais is trying to finagle its books so it can announce
a first-half "profit" on October 3, to prove to its benefactors their 
miracle cure has worked.  But the simple fact of life is that Credit 
Lyonnais is already bankrupt, with a negative net worth of about $2 billion.
(That is, give me $2 billion dollars, and I will take the bank off the hands 
of the French government, and call it square.)

        Other French banks, who do not have the same government largess
privileges as Credit Lyonnais, have raised a storm about the most recently
announced bailout.  The Chairman of Societe Generale, Marc Vienot, has
called Credit Lyonnais a "dirty dossier", and filed an anti-competitive
complaint with the European Court in Luxembourg.  

        Meanwhile the European Commission has launched a series of
investigations into a number of suspicious transactions associated with
Credit Lyonnaise.  These include its repurchase of a former subsidiary, 
Societe de Banque Occidentale on advantageous terms.  The other bidders for 
Societe de Banque were apparently not informed of its recapitalization to 
the tune of French franc 247.5 million by the Consortium des Realisations
in January.  Credit Lyonnaise then purchased Societe de Banque for
French franc 50 million in February.  

        The French Justice Minister, Jacques Toubon, has asked the Paris
prosecutor to look into accounting irregularities at Credit Lyonnais that
occurred under Jean-Yves Haberer, who was chairman of Credit Lyonnais
from 1988 to the time he was fired by the French government in 1993.
These are mostly related to the balance sheets of Altus Finance, a
Credit Lyonnais unit under Haberer.  This probe itself promises to open up 
a nice can of worms.  The current head of the French central bank--Banque de 
France--is Jean-Claude Trichet, who was head of the French Treasury and 
supervised Credit Lyonnais during the period in question.

        Finally, there is the usual assortment of dead bodies that often
appear in the banking world when millions of dollars are at stake.  One
of these is Amschel Rothschild, who until his demise was the chairman of 
British mutual fund group Rothschild Asset Management.  Amschel committed 
suicide by a very innovative method back in July.  He took the belt from a 
hotel robe, tied one end to a towel rack, and the other end to his neck. He
then hanged himself by, well, let's see, "jerking back suddenly".  

        Hmmm.

October 1, 1996
Web Page:  http://www.aci.net/kalliste/